FR: October 22-29, 2022: Week 13
201 Peacocks Landed Over 10 Lbs Including a 24 & 26 Pounder!
All of our 32 anglers had great fishing at our selected private fisheries.
Stats: The total for the week was 2,363 peacocks caught by 32 anglers, divided in 4 parties/River Trains. Also, 4 arapaima from 20-60 lbs were landed. See the fish tally below, which excludes a wide array of other less aggressive tropical species.
Ammo: The effective lures for bait casters continue to be large (6 inch) noisy top waters props, of any color. For fly fishermen we continue to suggest sinking tippets and long mickey fin streamers for trophies, and poppers for smaller fish.
Guesswork: Expected water levels at our 10 Private Rivers spread out across 4 Dry Zones are predictable by taking carefully into account La Niña official forecasted rainfall changes.
In the North West Dry Zone (see map below) on the upper Uneuixi River (Roçado) water levels may raise to unfishable levels in another 5 to 10 days.
In the North East Dry Zone on the upper Jufaris there is a similar forecast.
However, in the South West Dry Zone on the Matupiri & Igapo Açu water levels are lower and rising slowly (see design below). Therefore, we will fish another week to see how the other Dry Zones 500-800 miles away play out.
We base our predictions based on the 10-Day Rainfall Forecast (accumulated inches). These forecasts are for the towns listed below in red which affect the zones mentioned. A 10-Day Forecast for more than 2 inches of rain means water levels may rise; under 2 inches means that water levels may drop.
Since the rainfall forecasts in our monitored towns in the North West Zone (Uneuixi) and in the North East Zone (Upper Jufaris,etc) are over or just at 2 inches, we would expect water levels in these two zones to rise.
On the other hand, since forecasts in the South West Zone towns are below 2 inches we expect water levels to maintain the current low levels and may rise slightly.
The 10-Day Forecasts for the towns in the North West Zone are as follows:
- Villa Bitencourt: 4.12 inches (Marked as “VB” in the map below)
- Japura: 3.91 inches (Idem “Jap”)
- Santa Isabel do Rio Negro: 1.94 inches (Idem “SIR”)
- Sao Gabriel da Cachoeira: 2.81 inches (Idem “SGC”)
- Maraa: 2.33 inches (Idem “Mar”)
10-Day Forecasts for the towns in the North East Zone are as follows:
- Caracarai: 1.85 inches (Marked as “Cca” in the map below)
- Boavista: 1.91 inches (Idem “Bvi”)
- Rorainopolis: 2.17 inches (Idem “Ror”)
10-Day Forecasts for the towns in the South West Zone are as follows:
- Borba: 1.05 inches (Marked as “Bba” in the map below)
- Novo Aripuana: 1.12 inches (Idem “NA”)
- Autazes: 1.02 inches (Idem “Aut”)
Sources: wunderground.com and accuweather.com
3-Month Rain Anomaly Forecast In Our Four Fishing Dry Zones
(Valid for October-November-December)
Source: CPTEC/INPE, Brazil
Our water-level predications are not just based on immediate rainfall forecasts but also on longer term (3-month) forecasts for unusual (or what is called anomalous) rainfall across all of our fishing zones. In the above illustration, no unusual rainfall is expected in the white areas for the next 3 months. Note that the North West Zone is in light blue, meaning that it is expected to receive more rainfall than normal for this time of the year. In contrast, the South West Zone is almost completely in white, meaning that it should receive the usual rainfall for this time of the year, which could be our FALL BACK to optimize good fishing during January and February in case our private fisheries in the North West Zone such as the Upper Itapara, Upper Xeurini and Upper Jufaris are below the expected good water levels for that time of the year.